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Journal of Arid Land  2026, Vol. 18 Issue (11): 1870-1892    DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridl.2026.11.002    
Research article     
Natural and anthropogenic contributions to the variability of aerosol optical depth in arid and semi- arid areas
WEI Xin1, LIU Qiong1,*(), CHEN Yonghang1, CHEN Siyu2, LI Changyu2, YANG Fan3, SHAO Weiling4, ZHANG Taixi4, XU Yunhong1, GAO Tianyi1
1 College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Donghua University, Shanghai 201620, China
2 Key Laboratory for Semi-Arid Climate Change of the Ministry of Education, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China
3 Institute of Desert Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Urumqi 830002, China
4 Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Climate Center of China Meteorological Administration, Urumqi 830002, China
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Abstract  

Aerosol optical depth (AOD) is an important indicator for evaluating atmospheric pollution. Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China and its surrounding areas including Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan are well known as the typical arid and semi-arid areas mainly affected by dust aerosols, but the researches of different aerosol types, particularly the anthropogenic emissions are not enough. Moreover, the applicability of Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis AOD data remains unclear and the long-term trends of AOD in the study area have not been thoroughly investigated. Therefore, the accuracy of MERRA-2 reanalysis AOD data was evaluated against Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) observations. Subsequently, the contributions of five aerosol types (dust, sulfate, organic carbon, black carbon, and sea salt) derived from MERRA-2 AOD data from 2012 to 2022 were qualitatively and quantitatively explored. Results showed that AOD based on MERRA-2 reanalysis exhibited reasonable agreement with 19 AERONET sites (R2=0.49; bias= -0.07), confirming its regional reliability. The overall trends of MERRA-2 AOD revealed that aerosol concentrations in the Taklimakan Desert showed a significant increase (Theil-Sen slope≥0.005; standardized test statistic (Z)≥1.96) and higher variability (standard deviation (SD)>0.05), mainly owing to strong influence of natural disturbances, such as dust transport events. Conversely, low AOD variability (SD<0.01) appeared in the high-altitude and sparsely populated areas, such as eastern Tajikistan. The contributions of five aerosol types showed that dust AOD was the highest (0.120), followed by sulfate (0.067) and organic carbon (0.022), whereas black carbon and sea salt contributed relatively little, with values of 0.006 and 0.003, respectively. Spatially, dust AOD exhibited significant variation and gradually decreased from south to north, with high values mainly concentrated in the Taklamakan and Karakum deserts, whereas northern Kazakhstan was weakly affected by dust aerosols (AOD<0.060), but showed relatively high sulfate aerosol loading (AOD>0.100), mainly associated with anthropogenic emissions. From the perspective of land use types, spring dust aerosols made the largest contribution under the influence of dust sources of arid areas, with the highest contributions observed in barren land (75.28%; AOD=0.255), followed by cropland (55.21%; AOD=0.128), grassland (53.45%; AOD=0.150), and forest land (34.17%; AOD=0.068). Although greatly affected by dust and organic carbon at four seasons, sulfate remained the dominant aerosol type in forest land, driven by long-distance transport of industrial emissions, with percentages exceeding 46.00% (AOD>0.080). These findings indicate that aerosol variability in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China and its surrounding areas is jointly controlled by natural dust emissions, anthropogenic sulfate inputs, and land-use-dependent seasonal processes, highlighting the importance of distinguishing natural and anthropogenic aerosol contributions in regional air quality and climate assessments.



Key words: aerosol optical depth (AOD)      anthropogenic contribution      aerosol types      dust      land use type      Central Asia     
Received: 05 February 2026      Published: 30 November 2026
Corresponding Authors: *LIU Qiong (E-mail: liuqiong@dhu.edu.cn)
About author: Author contributions

Conceptualization: WEI Xin; Methodology: WEI Xin, LIU Qiong; Writing - original draft preparation: WEI Xin; Writing - reviewing and editing: WEI Xin, CHEN Yonghang, CHEN Siyu, LI Changyu; Funding Acquisition: CHEN Yonghang; Data curation: YANG Fan, SHAO Weiling, ZHANG Taixi, XU Yunhong; Software: XU Yunhong, GAO Tianyi. All authors approved the manuscript.

Cite this article:

WEI Xin, LIU Qiong, CHEN Yonghang, CHEN Siyu, LI Changyu, YANG Fan, SHAO Weiling, ZHANG Taixi, XU Yunhong, GAO Tianyi. Natural and anthropogenic contributions to the variability of aerosol optical depth in arid and semi- arid areas. Journal of Arid Land, 2026, 18(11): 1870-1892.

URL:

http://jal.xjegi.com/10.1016/j.jaridl.2026.11.002     OR     http://jal.xjegi.com/Y2026/V18/I11/1870

Fig. 1 Location of the study area. UZB, Uzbekistan; TUR, Turkmenistan; TAJ, Tajikistan; KYR, Kyrgyzstan; DEM, digital elevation model. Note that the figure is based on the standard map (GS(2016)1667) of the National Platform for Common GeoSpatial Information Services (http://www.tianditu.gov.cn/), and the boundary of the standard map has not been modified.
Name of site Longitude Latitude Land use type 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Dushanbe 68°51′36″E 38°33′00″N Cropland √ √ √ √ √
Gandhi_College 84°07′48″E 25°52′12″N Cropland √ √ √ √ √
Institute for Advanced Studies in Basic Sciences (IASBS) 48°30′25″E 36°42′18″N Grassland √ √ √ √ √
Issyk-Kul 76°58′48″E 42°37′12″N Grassland √ √ √ √ √
Jaipur 75°48′22″E 26°54′22″N Urban and built-up lands √ √ √ √ √
Kanpur 80°13′48″E 26°30′36″N Cropland √ √ √ √ √
Karachi 67°08′24″E 24°57′00″N Urban and built-up lands √ √ √ √ √
Kuwait_University 47°58′16″E 29°19′30″N Urban and built-up lands √ √ √ √ -
Kyanjin_Gompa 85°33′58″E 28°12′40″N Grassland √ √ √ - -
Lahore 74°15′36″E 31°28′48″N Urban and built-up lands √ √ √ √ √
Langtang_BC 85°36′36″E 28°12′50″N Barren land √ √ √ - -
Lumbini 83°16′48″E 27°29′24″N Cropland √ √ - - -
Nam Co, Xizang Plateau, China (NAM_CO) 90°57′36″E 30°46′12″N Grassland √ √ √ √ √
New Delhi_IMD 77°13′19″E 28°35′17″N Urban and built-up lands √ √ - - -
Pokhara 83°58′48″E 28°11′24″N Savannas √ √ √ √ √
Qomolangma Station for Atmospheric and Environmental Observation and Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xizang, China (QOMS_CAS) 86°57′00″E 28°22′12″N Grassland √ √ √ √ √
Shagaya_Park 47°03′40″E 29°12′32″N Barren land √ √ - - -
Thimphu 89°38′20″E 27°28′23″N Forest land √ √ - - -
Tomsk 85°02′53″E 56°28′30″N Savannas √ √ √ √ -
Table 1 Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) site position and AERONET Level 1.5 data availability from 2018 to 2022
Fig. 2 Classification of land use types in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China and its surrounding areas. The Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) sites are shown and the detail information of these sites is shown in Table 1. Note that the figure is based on the standard map (GS(2016)1667) of the National Platform for Common GeoSpatial Information Services (http://www.tianditu.gov.cn/), and the boundary of the standard map has not been modified.
SAOD value Z value AOD change trend
>0.005 >1.96 Significantly increase
>0.005 -1.96-1.96 Slight increase
-0.005-0.005 -1.96-1.96 Unchanged
< -0.005 -1.96-1.96 Slight decrease
< -0.005 < -1.96 Significantly decrease
Table 2 Classification of aerosol optical depth (AOD) change
Fig. 3 Comparison of Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) and AERONET aerosol optical depth (AOD) at the 19 sites from 2018 to 2022
Fig. 4 Comparison of MERRA-2 and AERONET AOD across different land use types from 2018 to 2022. (a), forest land; (b), savannas; (c), grassland; (d), cropland; (e), barren land; (f), urban and built-up lands.
Fig. 5 Multi-year average AOD variations in Xinjiang and its surrounding areas from 2012 to 2022. (a), Theil-Sen median analysis; (b), Mann-Kendall analysis. SAOD value, Theil-Sen's slope; Z value, standardized test statistic. Note that the figure is based on the standard map (GS(2016)1667) of the National Platform for Common GeoSpatial Information Services (http://www.tianditu.gov.cn/), and the boundary of the standard map has not been modified.
Fig. 6 Stability and persistence of AOD variations in Xinjiang and its surrounding areas from 2012 to 2022. (a), standard deviation (SD); (b), Hurst (H) exponent. Note that the figure is based on the standard map (GS(2016)1667) of the National Platform for Common GeoSpatial Information Services (http://www.tianditu.gov.cn/), and the boundary of the standard map has not been modified.
Fig. 7 Annual average AOD distribution for different aerosol types in Xinjiang and its surrounding areas from 2012 to 2022. (a), sulfate; (b), dust; (c), black carbon; (d), organic carbon; (e), sea salt; (f), total aerosols. Note that the figure is based on the standard map (GS(2016)1667) of the National Platform for Common GeoSpatial Information Services (http://www.tianditu.gov.cn/), and the boundary of the standard map has not been modified.
Fig. 8 Seasonal average AOD variations for different aerosol types in Xinjiang and its surrounding areas from 2012 to 2022
Fig. 9 Inter-annual variations of AOD for different aerosol types in forest land, grassland, cropland, and barren land from 2012 to 2022. (a), sulfate; (b), dust; (c), black carbon; (d), organic carbon; (e), sea salt; (f), total aerosols.
Fig. 10 Monthly variations of AOD for different aerosol types in forest land, grassland, cropland, and barren land. (a), sulfate; (b), dust; (c), black carbon; (d), organic carbon; (e), sea salt; (f), total aerosols.
Fig. 11 Seasonal variations of AOD for different aerosol types in forest land, grassland, cropland, and barren land
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