Research article |
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Impact of urban sprawl on land surface temperature in the Mashhad City, Iran: A deep learning and cloud- based remote sensing analysis |
Komeh ZINAT1, Hamzeh SAEID1, Memarian HADI2, Attarchi SARA1, LU Linlin3,4, Naboureh AMIN5,6, Alavipanah KAZEM SEYED1,*( ) |
1Department of Remote Sensing and GIS (Geographic Information System), University of Tehran, Tehran 14178-53933, Iran 2Department of Watershed Management, University of Birjand, Birjand 97174-34765, Iran 3Key Laboratory of Digital Earth Science, Aerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, China 4International Research Center of Big Data for Sustainable Development Goals, Beijing 100094, China 5Research Center for Digital Mountain and Remote Sensing Application, Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, China 6University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China |
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Abstract The evolution of land use patterns and the emergence of urban heat islands (UHI) over time are critical issues in city development strategies. This study aims to establish a model that maps the correlation between changes in land use and land surface temperature (LST) in the Mashhad City, northeastern Iran. Employing the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, we calculated the LST and extracted land use maps from 1985 to 2020. The convolutional neural network (CNN) approach was utilized to deeply explore the relationship between the LST and land use. The obtained results were compared with the standard machine learning (ML) methods such as support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and linear regression. The results revealed a 1.00°C-2.00°C increase in the LST across various land use categories. This variation in temperature increases across different land use types suggested that, in addition to global warming and climatic changes, temperature rise was strongly influenced by land use changes. The LST surge in built-up lands in the Mashhad City was estimated to be 1.75°C, while forest lands experienced the smallest increase of 1.19°C. The developed CNN demonstrated an overall prediction accuracy of 91.60%, significantly outperforming linear regression and standard ML methods, due to the ability to extract higher level features. Furthermore, the deep neural network (DNN) modeling indicated that the urban lands, comprising 69.57% and 71.34% of the studied area, were projected to experience extreme temperatures above 41.00°C and 42.00°C in the years 2025 and 2030, respectively. In conclusion, the LST predictioin framework, combining the GEE platform and CNN method, provided an effective approach to inform urban planning and to mitigate the impacts of UHI.
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Received: 19 September 2024
Published: 31 March 2025
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Corresponding Authors:
*Alavipanah KAZEM SEYED (E-mail: salavipa@ut.ac.ir)
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