Please wait a minute...
Journal of Arid Land  2024, Vol. 16 Issue (7): 983-999    DOI: 10.1007/s40333-024-0020-4     CSTR: 32276.14.s40333-024-0020-4
Research article     
Predicting potential invasion risks of Leucaena leucocephala (Lam.) de Wit in the arid area of Saudi Arabia
Haq S MARIFATUL1,*(), Darwish MOHAMMED1, Waheed MUHAMMAD1, Kumar MANOJ2, Siddiqui H MANZER3, Bussmann W RAINER1,4
1Department of Ethnobotany, Institute of Botany, Ilia State University, Tbilisi 0162, Georgia
2The Centre of Excellence on Sustainable Land Management (CoE-SLM), Indian Council of Forestry Research and Education, Dehradun 248006, India
3Department of Botany and Microbiology, College of Science, King Saud University, Riyadh 11451, Saudi Arabia
4Department of Botany, State Museum for Natural History, Karlsruhe 76133, Germany
Download: HTML     PDF(2153KB)
Export: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      

Abstract  

The presence of invasive plant species poses a substantial ecological impact, thus comprehensive evaluation of their potential range and risk under the influence of climate change is necessary. This study uses maximum entropy (MaxEnt) modeling to forecast the likelihood of Leucaena leucocephala (Lam.) de Wit invasion in Saudi Arabia under present and future climate change scenarios. Utilizing the MaxEnt modeling, we integrated climatic and soil data to predict habitat suitability for the invasive species. We conducted a detailed analysis of the distribution patterns of the species, using climate variables and ecological factors. We focused on the important influence of temperature seasonality, temperature annual range, and precipitation seasonality. The distribution modeling used robust measures of area under the curve (AUC) and receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curves, to map the invasion extent, which has a high level of accuracy in identifying appropriate habitats. The complex interaction that influenced the invasion of L. leucocephala was highlighted by the environmental parameters using Jackknife test. Presently, the actual geographic area where L. leucocephala was found in Saudi Arabia was considerably smaller than the theoretical maximum range, suggesting that it had the capacity to expand further. The MaxEnt model exhibited excellent prediction accuracy and produced reliable results based on the data from the ROC curve. Precipitation and temperature were the primary factors influencing the potential distribution of L. leucocephala. Currently, an estimated area of 216,342 km2 in Saudi Arabia was at a high probability of invasion by L. leucocephala. We investigated the potential for increased invasion hazards in the future due to climate change scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) 245 and 585). The analysis of key climatic variables, including temperature seasonality and annual range, along with soil properties such as clay composition and nitrogen content, unveiled their substantial influence on the distribution dynamic of L. leucocephala. Our findings indicated a significant expansion of high risk zones. High-risk zones for L. leucocephala invasion in the current climate conditions had notable expansions projected under future climate scenarios, particularly evident in southern Makkah, Al Bahah, Madina, and Asir areas. The results, backed by thorough spatial studies, emphasize the need to reduce the possible ecological impacts of climate change on the spread of L. leucocephala. Moreover, the study provides valuable strategic insights for the management of invasion, highlighting the intricate relationship between climate change, habitat appropriateness, and the risks associated with invasive species. Proactive techniques are suggested to avoid and manage the spread of L. leucocephala, considering its high potential for future spread. This study enhances the overall comprehension of the dynamics of invasive species by combining modeling techniques with ecological knowledge. It also provides valuable information for decision-making to implement efficient conservation and management strategies in response to changing environmental conditions.



Key wordsarea under the curve      invasive species      invasion risks      climate change      MaxEnt model     
Received: 29 January 2024      Published: 31 July 2024
Corresponding Authors: * Haq S MARIFATUL (E-mail: marifat.edu.17@gmail.com)
Cite this article:

Haq S MARIFATUL, Darwish MOHAMMED, Waheed MUHAMMAD, Kumar MANOJ, Siddiqui H MANZER, Bussmann W RAINER. Predicting potential invasion risks of Leucaena leucocephala (Lam.) de Wit in the arid area of Saudi Arabia. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(7): 983-999.

URL:

http://jal.xjegi.com/10.1007/s40333-024-0020-4     OR     http://jal.xjegi.com/Y2024/V16/I7/983

Fig. 1 Leucaena leucocephala (Lam.) de Wit tree in Saudi Arabia. (a), invaded in degraded habitat; (b), mature tree with saplings; (c), seeds and fruit.
Fig. 2 Occurrence points of L. leucocephala in Saudi Arabia
Name of variable & description Code Unit Resolution Database
Annual mean temperature bio1 °C 30 arc s WorldClim
Mean diurnal range of temperature bio2 °C 30 arc s WorldClim
Isothermality ((Bio2/Bio7)×100%) bio3 % 30 arc s WorldClim
Temperature seasonality bio4 °C 30 arc s WorldClim
Maximum temperature of the warmest month bio5 °C 30 arc s WorldClim
Minimum temperature of the coldest month bio6 °C 30 arc s WorldClim
Temperature annual range bio7 °C 30 arc s WorldClim
Mean temperature of the wettest quarter bio8 °C 30 arc s WorldClim
Mean temperature of the driest quarter bio9 °C 30 arc s WorldClim
Mean temperature of the warmest quarter bio10 °C 30 arc s WorldClim
Mean temperature of the coldest quarter bio11 °C 30 arc s WorldClim
Annual precipitation bio12 mm 30 arc s WorldClim
Precipitation of the wettest month bio13 mm 30 arc s WorldClim
Precipitation of the driest month bio14 mm 30 arc s WorldClim
Precipitation seasonality (CV) bio15 % 30 arc s WorldClim
Precipitation of the wettest quarter bio16 mm 30 arc s WorldClim
Precipitation of the driest quarter bio17 mm 30 arc s WorldClim
Precipitation of the warmest quarter bio18 mm 30 arc s WorldClim
Precipitation of the coldest quarter bio19 mm 30 arc s WorldClim
Bulk density BD cg/cm3 30 arc s SoilGrids
Cation exchange capacity (pH=7) CEC mmol/kg 30 arc s SoilGrids
Volumetric fraction of coarse fragments (>2 mm) cfvo cm3/dm3 30 arc s SoilGrids
Clay content clay g/kg 30 arc s SoilGrids
Total nitrogen nitrogen cg/kg 30 arc s SoilGrids
Organic carbon density OCD μg/dm3 30 arc s SoilGrids
Soil pH phh2o - 30 arc s SoilGrids
Sand content sand g/kg 30 arc s SoilGrids
Silt content silt g/kg 30 arc s SoilGrids
Soil organic carbon SOC dg/kg 30 arc s SoilGrids
Land cover LC - 30 arc s http://www-modis.bu.edu/landcover
Population density PD - 30 arc s http://www.ornl.gov/sci/landscan
Table S1 Environmental predictors used in the species distribution model (SDM) for Leucaena leucocephala (Lam.) de Wit
Fig. 3 Pairwise correlation among biophysical and climatic variables in the distribution modeling of L. leucocephala. bio04, temperature seasonality; bio07, temperature annual range; bio15, precipitation seasonality; cfvo, volumetric fraction of coarse fragments (>2 mm). The abbreviations are the same in the following figures.
Fig. 4 Graphical representation of the receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curve, which serves as a visualization of the predictive performance of the MaxEnt model. The precision of the model, quantified by an area under the curve (AUC) score of 0.96, is indicative of its ability to effectively discriminate between true positives and false positives. SD, standard errors.
Description Code Percentage of contribution (%)
Temperature seasonality bio04 41.30
Temperature annual range bio07 21.40
Precipitation seasonality bio15 12.70
Volumetric fraction of coarse fragments (>2 mm) cfvo 10.80
Clay content clay 7.20
Total nitrogen nitrogen 6.60
Table 1 Weighing the importance of various factors
Fig. 5 Analysis result of the MaxEnt model for L. leucocephala using the Jackknife test to evaluate the predictive effectiveness of environmental parameters. AUC, area under the curve.
Fig. 6 Parameters influencing the distribution of L. leucocephala. (a), bio04; (b), bio07; (c), bio15; (d), cfvo; (e), clay; (f), nitrogen.
Fig. 7 MaxEnt prediction result showing the distributed areas of L. leucocephala under current climate circumstances
Fig. 8 MaxEnt prediction result showing the distributed areas of L. leucocephala under several climate change scenarios. (a), shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) 245 in the 2050s; (b), SSPs 585 in the 2050s; (c), SSPs 245 in the 2070s; (d), SSPs 585 in the 2070s.
Climate change scenario Area of invasion of L. leucocephala
under different evaluated invasion risk classes (km2)
Total area under invasion risks (km2)
No risk zones Low risk zones Moderate risk zones High risk zones
Current climate 1,404,315 205,320 304,235 216,342 725,897
SSPs 245 in the 2050s 1,319,352 218,303 335,737 256,820 810,860
Rate of change (%) -3.98 0.60 1.47 1.90 3.98
SSPs 585 in the 2050s 1,269,874 250,363 332,612 277,363 860,338
Rate of change (%) -6.31 2.11 1.33 2.86 6.31
SSPs 245 in the 2070s 1,311,040 232,259 324,597 262,316 819,172
Rate of change (%) -4.37 1.26 0.95 2.15 4.37
SSPs 585 in the 2070s 1,251,753 241,514 344,614 292,331 878,459
Rate of change (%) -7.16 1.69 1.89 3.56 7.16
Table 2 Area variation in L. leucocephala invasion under diverse climate change projections
[1]   Abbas A M, Soliman W S, Alomran M M, et al. 2023. Four invasive plant species in Southwest Saudi Arabia have variable effects on soil dynamics. Plants, 12(6): 1231, doi: 10.3390/plants12061231.
[2]   Alharthi S T, El-Sheikh M A, Alfarhan A A. 2023. Biological change of western Saudi Arabia: Alien plants diversity and their relationship with edaphic variables. Journal of King Saud University-Science, 35(2): 102496, doi: 10.1016/j.jksus.2022.102496.
[3]   Amiri M, Tarkesh M, Shafiezadeh M. 2022. Modelling the biological invasion of Prosopis juliflora using geostatistical-based bioclimatic variables under climate change in arid zones of southwestern Iran. Journal of Arid Land, 14(2): 203-224.
[4]   Anderson R P, Gonzalez Jr I. 2011. Species-specific tuning increases robustness to sampling bias in models of species distributions: an implementation with Maxent. Ecological Modelling, 222(15): 2796-2811.
[5]   Arshad F, Waheed M, Fatima K, et al. 2022. Predicting the suitable current and future potential distribution of the native endangered tree Tecomella undulata (Sm.) Seem. in Pakistan. Sustainability, 14(12): 7215, doi: 10.3390/su14127215.
[6]   Ashton I W, Hyatt L A, Howe K M, et al. 2005. Invasive species accelerate decomposition and litter nitrogen loss in a mixed deciduous forest. Ecological Applications, 15(4): 1263-1272.
[7]   Bai D F, Chen P J, Atzeni L, et al. 2018. Assessment of habitat suitability of the snow leopard (Panthera uncia) in Qomolangma National Nature Reserve based on MaxEnt modeling. Zoological Research, 39(6): 373-386.
[8]   Bao R, Li X, Zheng J. 2022. Feature tuning improves Maxent predictions of the potential distribution of Pedicularis longiflora Rudolph and its variant. PeerJ, 10: e13337, doi: 10.7717/peerj.13337.
[9]   Beas-Luna R, Micheli F, Woodson C B, et al. 2020. Geographic variation in responses of kelp forest communities of the California Current to recent climatic changes. Global Change Biology, 26(11): 6457-6473.
[10]   Bosso L, Di Febbraro M, Cristinzio G, et al. 2016. Shedding light on the effects of climate change on the potential distribution of Xylella fastidiosa in the Mediterranean basin. Biological Invasion, 18: 1759-1768.
[11]   Calinger K, Calhoon E, Chang H C, et al. 2015. Historic mining and agriculture as indicators of occurrence and abundance of widespread invasive plant species. PLoS ONE, 10(6): e0128161, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0128161.
[12]   Chiou C R, Wang H H, Chen Y J, et al. 2013. Modeling potential range expansion of the invasive shrub Leucaena leucocephala in the Hengchun Peninsula, Taiwan. Invasive Plant Science Management, 6(4): 492-501.
[13]   Cotto O, Wessely J, Georges D, et al. 2017. A dynamic eco-evolutionary model predicts slow response of alpine plants to climate warming. Nature Communication, 8(1): 15399, doi: 10.1038/ncomms15399.
[14]   de Groot M, O'hanlon R, Bullas-Appleton E, et al. 2020. Challenges and solutions in early detection, rapid response and communication about potential invasive alien species in forests. Management of Biological Invasions, 11(4): 637-660.
[15]   Dubyna D V, Iemelianova S M, Dziuba T P. 2023. Alien plant invasion across coastal dunes of Ukraine. Biologia, 78(5): 1401-1414.
[16]   Ehrenfeld J G, Kourtev P, Huang W. 2001. Changes in soil functions following invasions of exotic understory plants in deciduous forests. Ecological applications, 11(5): 1287-1300.
[17]   Ehrenfeld J G. 2004. Implications of invasive species for belowground community and nutrient processes. Weed Technology, 18(Suppl.1): 1232-1235.
[18]   Elith J, H Graham C, P Anderson R, et al. 2006. Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography, 29(2): 129-151.
[19]   Elith J, Phillips S J, Hastie T, et al. 2011. A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists. Diversity Distribution, 17(1): 43-57.
[20]   Fourcade Y, Engler J O, Rödder D, et al. 2014. Mapping species distributions with MAXENT using a geographically biased sample of presence data: a performance assessment of methods for correcting sampling bias. PLoS ONE, 9(5): e97122, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0097122.
[21]   Gobeyn S, Mouton A M, Cord A F, et al. 2019. Evolutionary algorithms for species distribution modelling: A review in the context of machine learning. Ecological Modelling, 392: 179-195.
doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.11.013
[22]   Graham M H. 2003. Confronting multicollinearity in ecological multiple regression. Ecology, 84(11): 2809-2815.
[23]   Gu C, Tu Y, Liu L, et al. 2021. Predicting the potential global distribution of Ageratina adenophora under current and future climate change scenarios. Ecology and Evolution, 11(17): 12092-12113.
[24]   Hijmans R J, Cameron S E, Parra J L, et al. 2005. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology, 25(15): 1965-1978.
[25]   Hughes K A, Pescott O L, Peyton J, et al. 2020. Invasive non-native species likely to threaten biodiversity and ecosystems in the Antarctic Peninsula region. Global Change Biology, 26(4): 2702-2716.
[26]   Kariyawasam C S, Kumar L, Ratnayake S S. 2020. Potential risks of plant invasions in protected areas of Sri Lanka under climate change with special reference to threatened vertebrates. Climate, 8(4): 51, doi: 10.3390/cli8040051.
[27]   Kourantidou M, Verbrugge L N, Haubrock P J, et al. 2022. The economic costs, management and regulation of biological invasions in the Nordic countries. Journal of Environmental Management, 324: 116374, doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.116374.
[28]   Kumar M, Padalia H, Nandy S, et al. 2019. Does spatial heterogeneity of landscape explain the process of plant invasion? A case study of Hyptis suaveolens from Indian Western Himalaya. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 191(Suppl. 3): 794, doi: 10.1007/s10661-019-7682-y.
[29]   Linders T E W, Schaffner U, Eschen R, et al. 2019. Direct and indirect effects of invasive species: Biodiversity loss is a major mechanism by which an invasive tree affects ecosystem functioning. Journal of Ecology, 107(6): 2660-2672.
doi: 10.1111/1365-2745.13268
[30]   Liu X, Liu H, Gong H, et al. 2017. Appling the one-class classification method of maxent to detect an invasive plant Spartina alterniflora with time-series analysis. Remote Sensing, 9(11): 1120, doi: 10.3390/rs9111120.
[31]   Liu Z L, Hu L L. 2022. Prediction of potential distribution and climate change of rare species Cephalotaxus oliveri. Forest Resources Management, 90(1): 35-42. (in Chinese)
[32]   Mainali K P, Warren D L, Dhileepan K, et al. 2015. Projecting future expansion of invasive species: Comparing and improving methodologies for species distribution modeling. Global Change Biology, 21(12): 4464-4480.
doi: 10.1111/gcb.13038 pmid: 26185104
[33]   Martinez B, Reaser J K, Dehgan A, et al. 2020. Technology innovation: Advancing capacities for the early detection of and rapid response to invasive species. Biological Invasion, 22(1): 75-100.
[34]   Merow C, Smith M J, Silander Jr J A. 2013. A practical guide to MaxEnt for modeling species' distributions: What it does, and why inputs and settings matter. Ecography, 36(10): 1058-1069.
[35]   Phillips S J, Anderson R P, Schapire R E. 2006. Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecological Modelling, 190(3-4): 231-259.
[36]   Phillips S J, Dudík M. 2008. Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: New extensions and a comprehensive evaluation. Ecography, 31(2): 161-175.
[37]   Phillips S J, Dudík M, Elith J, et al. 2009. Sample selection bias and presence-only distribution models: Implications for background and pseudo-absence data. Ecological Application, 19(1): 181-197.
[38]   Pyšek P, Hulme P E, Simberloff D, et al. 2020. Scientists' warning on invasive alien species. Biological Review, 95(6): 1511-1534.
[39]   Raghu S, Wiltshire C, Dhileepan K. 2005. Intensity of pre-dispersal seed predation in the invasive legume Leucaena leucocephala is limited by the duration of pod retention. Austral Ecology, 30(3): 310-318.
[40]   Rashid I, Haq S M, Lembrechts J J, et al. 2021. Railways redistribute plant species in mountain landscapes. Journal of Applied Ecology, 58(9): 1967-1980.
[41]   Rout M E, Callaway R M. 2009. An invasive plant paradox. Science, 324(5928): 734-735.
[42]   Seebens H, Essl F, Dawson W, et al. 2015. Global trade will accelerate plant invasions in emerging economies under climate change. Global Change Biology, 21(11): 4128-4140.
doi: 10.1111/gcb.13021 pmid: 26152518
[43]   Sharma P, Kaur A, Batish D R, et al. 2022. Critical insights into the ecological and invasive attributes of Leucaena leucocephala, a tropical agroforestry species. Frontiers in Agronomy, 4: 890992, doi: 10.3389/fagro.2022.890992.
[44]   Summers D M, Bryan B A, Crossman N D, et al. 2012. Species vulnerability to climate change: Impacts on spatial conservation priorities and species representation. Global Change Biology, 18(7): 2335-2348.
[45]   Sun Y, Züst T, Silvestro D, et al. 2002. Climate warming can reduce biocontrol efficacy and promote plant invasion due to both genetic and transient metabolomic changes. Ecological Letter, 25(6): 1378-1400.
[46]   Thomas J, El-Sheikh M A, Alfarhan A H, et al. 2016. Impact of alien invasive species on habitats and species richness in Saudi Arabia. Journal of Arid Environments, 127: 53-65.
[47]   Townsend Peterson A, Papeş M, Eaton M. 2007. Transferability and model evaluation in ecological niche modeling: A comparison of GARP and Maxent. Ecography, 30(4): 550-560.
[48]   Vilà M, Basnou C, Pyšek P, et al. 2010. How well do we understand the impacts of alien species on ecosystem services? A pan-European, cross-taxa assessment. Frontier in Ecology Environment, 8(3): 135-144.
[49]   Waheed M, Arshad F, Majeed M, et al. 2023a. Potential distribution of a noxious weed (Solanum viarum Dunal), current status, and future invasion risk based on MaxEnt modeling. Geology, Ecology, and Landscape, 8: 2179752, doi: 10.1080/24749508.2023.2179752.
[50]   Waheed M, Haq S M, Arshad F, et al. 2023b. Phyto-ecological distribution patterns and identification of alien invasive indicator species about edaphic factors from the semi-arid region. Ecological Indicator, 148: 110053, doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110053.
[51]   Xiong Q L, He Y L, Deng F Y, et al. 2019. Assessment of alpine mean response to climate change in Southwest China based on MaxEnt Model. Acta Ecologica Sinicia, 39(24): 9033-9043. (in Chinese)
[52]   Yang X Q, Kushwaha S P S, Saran S, et al. 2013. Maxent modeling for predicting the potential distribution of medicinal plant, Justicia adhatoda L. in Lesser Himalayan foothills. Ecological Engineering, 51: 83-87.
[53]   Zhang X, Zhao J, Wang M, et al. 2022. Potential distribution prediction of Amaranthus palmeri S. Watson in China under current and future climate scenarios. Ecology and Evolution, 12(12): e9505, doi: 10.1002/ece3.9505.
[54]   Zhu J, Xu X, Tao Q, et al. 2017. High invasion potential of Hydrilla verticillata in the Americas predicted using ecological niche modeling combined with genetic data. Ecology and Evolution, 7(13): 4982-4990.
[1] CHEN Zhuo, SHAO Minghao, HU Zihao, GAO Xin, LEI Jiaqiang. Potential distribution of Haloxylon ammodendron in Central Asia under climate change[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(9): 1255-1269.
[2] SUN Chao, BAI Xuelian, WANG Xinping, ZHAO Wenzhi, WEI Lemin. Response of vegetation variation to climate change and human activities in the Shiyang River Basin of China during 2001-2022[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(8): 1044-1061.
[3] YAN Yujie, CHENG Yiben, XIN Zhiming, ZHOU Junyu, ZHOU Mengyao, WANG Xiaoyu. Impacts of climate change and human activities on vegetation dynamics on the Mongolian Plateau, East Asia from 2000 to 2023[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(8): 1062-1079.
[4] YANG Jianhua, LI Yaqian, ZHOU Lei, ZHANG Zhenqing, ZHOU Hongkui, WU Jianjun. Effects of temperature and precipitation on drought trends in Xinjiang, China[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(8): 1098-1117.
[5] HAN Qifei, XU Wei, LI Chaofan. Effects of nitrogen deposition on the carbon budget and water stress in Central Asia under climate change[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(8): 1118-1129.
[6] WANG Tongxia, CHEN Fulong, LONG Aihua, ZHANG Zhengyong, HE Chaofei, LYU Tingbo, LIU Bo, HUANG Yanhao. Glacier area change and its impact on runoff in the Manas River Basin, Northwest China from 2000 to 2020[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(7): 877-894.
[7] DU Lan, TIAN Shengchuan, ZHAO Nan, ZHANG Bin, MU Xiaohan, TANG Lisong, ZHENG Xinjun, LI Yan. Climate and topography regulate the spatial pattern of soil salinization and its effects on shrub community structure in Northwest China[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(7): 925-942.
[8] Seyed Morteza MOUSAVI, Hossein BABAZADEH, Mahdi SARAI-TABRIZI, Amir KHOSROJERDI. Assessment of rehabilitation strategies for lakes affected by anthropogenic and climatic changes: A case study of the Urmia Lake, Iran[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(6): 752-767.
[9] LI Chuanhua, ZHANG Liang, WANG Hongjie, PENG Lixiao, YIN Peng, MIAO Peidong. Influence of vapor pressure deficit on vegetation growth in China[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(6): 779-797.
[10] LU Haitian, ZHAO Ruifeng, ZHAO Liu, LIU Jiaxin, LYU Binyang, YANG Xinyue. Impact of climate change and human activities on the spatiotemporal dynamics of surface water area in Gansu Province, China[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(6): 798-815.
[11] YANG Zhiwei, CHEN Rensheng, LIU Zhangwen, ZHAO Yanni, LIU Yiwen, WU Wentong. Spatiotemporal variability of rain-on-snow events in the arid region of Northwest China[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(4): 483-499.
[12] ZHANG Mingyu, CAO Yu, ZHANG Zhengyong, ZHANG Xueying, LIU Lin, CHEN Hongjin, GAO Yu, YU Fengchen, LIU Xinyi. Spatiotemporal variation of land surface temperature and its driving factors in Xinjiang, China[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(3): 373-395.
[13] WANG Baoliang, WANG Hongxiang, JIAO Xuyang, HUANG Lintong, CHEN Hao, GUO Wenxian. Runoff change in the Yellow River Basin of China from 1960 to 2020 and its driving factors[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(2): 168-194.
[14] LIU Xinyu, LI Xuemei, ZHANG Zhengrong, ZHAO Kaixin, LI Lanhai. A CMIP6-based assessment of regional climate change in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(2): 195-219.
[15] ZHAO Yaxuan, CAO Bo, SHA Linwei, CHENG Jinquan, ZHAO Xuanru, GUAN Weijin, PAN Baotian. Land use and cover change and influencing factor analysis in the Shiyang River Basin, China[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2024, 16(2): 246-265.